Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.011751 0.014281 0.017461 0.021844 0.027888 0.036181 0.048910
2025-02-16 0.008628 0.011437 0.015452 0.021914 0.032736 0.051681 0.091993
2025-02-23 0.006994 0.009779 0.014094 0.021809 0.036719 0.068592 0.161475
2025-03-02 0.005792 0.008385 0.012626 0.020785 0.038319 0.082376 0.255000
2025-03-09 0.005025 0.007487 0.011701 0.020342 0.040806 0.101131 0.433882
2025-03-16 0.004559 0.006982 0.011320 0.020806 0.045699 0.133873 0.919494
2025-03-23 0.004142 0.006486 0.010835 0.020868 0.049669 0.171173 2.122958
2025-03-30 0.003706 0.005889 0.010036 0.019958 0.050305 0.196506 4.436800
2025-04-06 0.003384 0.005455 0.009486 0.019495 0.052211 0.235213 13.753027
2025-04-13 0.003195 0.005243 0.009350 0.020046 0.058235 0.323452 353.370996
2025-04-20 0.003097 0.005190 0.009541 0.021551 0.069585 0.526909 NaN
2025-04-27 0.002967 0.005058 0.009531 0.022492 0.079754 0.831878 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002755 0.004761 0.009156 0.022414 0.086302 1.249757 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002574 0.004511 0.008859 0.022546 0.095089 2.119147 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002405 0.004264 0.008526 0.022440 0.102813 3.697711 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002215 0.003951 0.007975 0.021376 0.102588 5.073584 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002071 0.003726 0.007615 0.020916 0.106984 8.907674 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001981 0.003606 0.007509 0.021397 0.121018 31.711755 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001883 0.003460 0.007313 0.021462 0.132031 180.632331 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001761 0.003248 0.006906 0.020517 0.130866 626.165174 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001665 0.003088 0.006624 0.020036 0.134887 283316.449719 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001611 0.003018 0.006582 0.020608 0.154567 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001587 0.003017 0.006736 0.022172 0.196585 NaN NaN